Last year at Dorton Arena, the East regional tournament was blowout-heavy. I expect fewer blowouts and a lot more excitement, a la Thunda on the Tundra, for this year’s tournament (except for games that Gotham plays in- those will all be blowouts.)

Game 1: Providence (8) vs. Dutchland (9)

This prediction looks kinda easy- Dutchland surprisingly just stomped the Rioters on September 11. Providence can be inconsistent, but they certainly have the talent and experience to win this one. I am gonna call it for Dutchland, but I won’t be surprised at all if I am wrong.

Winner: Dutchland

Game 2: Carolina (7) vs. DC (10)

Ah this is a tough one. Carolina is probably my favorite team in derby. But, this team is far removed from its heyday, and just hasn’t performed up to its capabilities of late. DC on the other hand is on fire after ECE and they get the nod here. I certainly hope I am wrong on this one.

Winner: DC

Game 3: Charm City (4) vs. Steel City (5)

Since both teams wear a combination of yellow and black, one thing is certain- yellow and black wins this game. Nothing much to say here except that Charm City out matches Steel City talent-wise for the time being.

Winner: Charm City

Game 4: Boston (3) vs. Montreal (6)

Montreal is clearly a team to watch, but they aren’t as talented or experienced as Boston yet.

Winner: Boston

Game 5: Gotham (1) vs. Dutchland

No contest. Dutchland should have some specific strategies in play to test, as if this were a scrimmage. Use this as a practice and don’t pay attention to the scoreboard. Let’s hope Gotham uses this chance to rest its star players and get their newer players a ton of experience.

Winner: Gotham

Game 6: Philly (2) vs. DC

DC is scrappy and will play better than we might expect, but still, the Liberty Belles cruise in this one.

Winner: Philly

Game 7: Carolina vs. Steel City

Steel City is damn good, and they play together and play smart.

Winner: Steel City

Game 8: Montreal vs. Providence

This is maybe the toughest pick of the tournament. Providence can be super exciting and inconsistent, but when they play at their best the are hard to beat. I’m picking Providence.

Winner: Providence

Game 9: Gotham vs. Charm City

No one will come within 50 points (final scores) of Gotham.

Winner: Gotham

Game 10: Boston vs. Philly

Speed and finesse vs. power and fundamentals. Power wins.

Winner: Philly

Game 11: Dutchland vs. Steel City

This Pennsylvania battle easily goes to Pittsburgh.

Winner: Steel City

Game 12: Providence vs. DC

The grit and experience of the Rioters and the leadership of Craisy Dukes and Sass E.McNasty are too much for the upstart DC Rollergirls.

Winner: Providence

Game 13: Carolina vs. Montreal

Next year this outcome will be different, as I expect Carolina to continue improving and make a huge 2011 comeback. For now, the Canadians repeat their win over Carolina from earlier this year.

Winner: Montreal

Game 14: Dutchland vs. DC

DC is gonna make it an close game, but Dutchland wins it in the end.

Winner: Dutchland

Game 15: Steel City vs. Providence

Steel City improves on last years tournament performance and beats Providence soundly.

Winner: Steel City

Game 16: Boston vs. Charm City

Boston is perhaps the smartest team I have ever seen play, but it won’t help them this time. A full strength Charm City gets the win in this exciting, back and forth game.

Winner: Charm City

Game 17: Gotham vs. Philly

I don’t think this will be as close or exciting as recent meetings between these two.

Winner: Gotham

East Wrap-Up

Much like in the North Central, the East will send one new team to Nationals this year. Gotham and Philly cruise to Chicago, and finally Charm City makes it.

Your thoughts? Use that comment box below!

Here are some thoughts I had during and after last weekends’ North Central Regional tournaments. Feel free to disagree and comment.

  • I finished 11-6 in my bracket. Minnesota and Naptown’s impressive upsets threw me for a loop.
  • So how do these upsets happen anyway? Well there’s good fundamental skills, hard work, a little luck, etc. But much more importantly, IMHO, is team unity. Working together for a common goal, a united belief in how to get there, and support of the team leaders. Not over thinking and over analyzing and letting your mind get in the way. Just play and have fun.
  • More on upsets- another thing that can be a huge factor is recognizing when your opponents make a mistake (on the track or with mismatches in line ups) and being able to capitalize within fractions of a second. There are some adjustments that you can make in the locker room, but most of them have to happen on the track, during a jam, without thinking about them. Few teams who are otherwise talented can do this consistently.
  • BTW, what makes a game an upset? When a team that isn’t expected to win (by the “experts”) wins. The seeds themselves are mostly accurate but don’t necessarily reflect a team’s ability, it’s basically just when we get surprised by an outcome that we have an upset. My point- if we had picked MNRG to beat Detroit then it wouldn’t have been so impressive.
  • Naptown Rollergirls may have surprised you but they didn’t surprise me. I had the pleasure of working with them a bit early this season, and I could tell that they were on the verge of a breakout year. Not only are they a talented bunch of athletes, but much more importantly they were unified in their goals and open to any and all help and criticism. They are a smart and dedicated team.
  • FYI, what Naptown accomplished in Green Bay was done without the help of some of their best players, who were sidelined a few months ago with injury. Touretta Lynn and Sin Lizzie may be done for good, but if Blazin’ Ace gets back in their lineup next year, look for them to be even better.
  • Willa Hoeflinch was a bright spot for Naptown as an experienced speedskater. The Tornado Sirens groomed her along on the b-team for much of the season to get her experience in derby- a very smart move, and not one that many teams would have the patience to pull off.
  • Naptown and MNRG may have been surprises, but so was Arch and Brewcity. These teams under-achieved in a surprising way. I say this not to criticize, but to note that they are much better teams than their tournament performances indicated, they presumably just had an off weekend. A few tweaks here and there and they can easily climb the ranks.
  • Official time outs and game stoppage- holy moly. In one game where I took some rudimentary data, well over 15 minutes in official time outs were called in the first half alone. That’s over one quarter’s of the game’s worth of time. Yeah yeah, a lot was at stake, they wanna get it right, it’s a complicated fast moving sport. I get that. But 15 plus minutes?
  • Although the games were mostly great, it seems that less strategy is involved these days due to frequently full penalty boxes. When you are down to 3 on the track, it’s hard to execute a game plan. I think that the powers that be really need to consider rule changes to try and keep as many skaters on the track as possible, so we can get to games that feature awesome strategy, more than just “whose jammer is in the box”.
  • Related to this, can we track how often in a game we have five on five? I bet it’s less than half of the game on average.
  • I was honored to present the 2007 East regional MVP trophy to Detroit’s Racer McChaser. Seeing her interviewed after her game where she scored 32 points in a single jam reminded me not only of how awesome she is, but how she’s about the nicest person and most selfless player I have ever known. Our sport needs more like her.
  • Sadistic Sadie and Cincinnati were the source of much hushed drama in Green Bay, apparently, and on the internet as well. Regardless of how you feel about the situation, Cincy certainly showed the world that they are NOT inconsistent, that they are NOT a one-woman show, and that the ARE one of the best teams in derby. IMHO, they achieve without tons of skill, but rather through discipline, hard work and teamwork. All teams should be so lucky.
  • The way that both Naptown and Cincy performed against Windy City should be considered moral victories. Few teams in the country would have fared as well. WCR is not the dominant team of 2007/2008, but they are still solid, well rounded and intimidating.
  • Despite the previous thought, you almost feel that WCR was holding back in their first two games, seeing how easily they handled Minnesota in the finals. That game was essentially meaningless, and arguably a team might prefer to take it easy in that game rather than risk injury to a standout player.
  • Madison’s victory over Cincinnati all but assures that they will face Texas in the first round of Nationals. This means that team captain Vicious Van Go Go will play her former team. That is going to be one fun and exciting match up.
  • Once again, we witnessed a major tournament with no fans in the stands, and very low (relative to certain high profile recent single game events) viewership on DNN. Can these tourneys be marketed toward legitimate local sports fans (i.e. not just friends and family)?

Image courtesy of Ziv Kruger